ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Which Influencing Factors Cause CO2 Emissions
Differences in China’s Provincial Construction
Industry: Empirical Analysis from
a Quantile Regression Model
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1
Department of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Baoding, China
2
Beijing Key Laboratory of New Energy and Low-Carbon Development (North China Electric Power University),
Changping Beijing, China
Submission date: 2018-12-12
Final revision date: 2019-02-19
Acceptance date: 2019-03-03
Online publication date: 2019-08-21
Publication date: 2019-10-23
Corresponding author
Xiaojing Song
Department of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Baoding 071003, China
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2020;29(1):331-347
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ABSTRACT
China is currently the largest emitter in the world. Moreover, the construction industry is the biggest
contributor to CO2 emissions. Most scholars use the averaging method to explore CO2 emissions driving
factors. However, the actual socio-economic variables distribution isn’t often normal, with the tail having
hidden important information. Based on panel data from 2004-2016, this paper investigates the driving
forces of CO2 emissions through the quantile regression approach. The empirical results show that the
impacts of economic growth on CO2 emissions in the 10th-25th, 50th-75th and 75th-90th quantile provinces
are higher than those in the other quantile provinces. The influences of urbanization on CO2 emissions
in the upper 90th are strongest in all the quantile provinces. The affects of construction development on
CO2 emission in the 25th-50th and upper 90th quantile provinces is greater than those in the other quantile
provinces, while the effects of energy intensity on CO2 in the lower 10th and 10th-25th quantile provinces
are lower than those in other quantile provinces due to the difference. Consequently, emission reduction
departments should take into account the differences of carbon emissions driving forces in different
provinces and reasonably formulate policies in mitigating carbon emission.