ORIGINAL RESEARCH
The Impact of the COVID-19 Epidemic
on China’s High-Level Tourist Attractions:
Evidence from Jiangsu Province
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1
Tourism and Social Administration College, Nanjing Xiaozhuang University,
NO. 3601 Hongjing Road, Nanjing 21171, China
2
School of Foreign Languages, Zhejiang Sci-Tech University,
No. 928, No. 2 Street, Xiasha Higher Education Park, Hangzhou, China
Submission date: 2023-11-13
Final revision date: 2024-02-25
Acceptance date: 2024-05-14
Online publication date: 2024-09-02
Corresponding author
Qiu-yi Xie
School of Foreign Languages, Zhejiang Sci-Tech University, China
KEYWORDS
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ABSTRACT
Based on the data from high-level scenic spots in Jiangsu Province in 2020 after the outbreak of
the epidemic, this paper uses the geographic space method to display the temporal and spatial change
process of the number of tourists in scenic spots during COVID-19, and establishes a multivariate lag
nonlinear regression model to empirically study the mechanism of changes in the number of tourists
in tourist attractions during the epidemic. The results show that: (1) Except for the restrictions such
as closing the park, after the outbreak of COVID-19, the number of tourists in the scenic spots has
recovered, and the recovery speed of different types of scenic spots is different. Tourists in cultural
scenic spots and modern amusements are recovering slowly, and they are less resilient due to the impact
of the epidemic. (2) The situation of the COVID-19 epidemic and related public opinions have an impact
on the number of tourists in the scenic spot. The degree of impact from large to small is the number
of newly diagnosed domestically, the public opinion index of COVID-19, the number of newly imported
overseas, and the number of newly diagnosed overseas. From the perspective of time, the number
of newly diagnosed domestic and foreign epidemics has a significant inhibitory effect on the number
of tourists in the scenic spot before June 2020, and the impact is not obvious after June, while the
number of newly imported overseas cases and the epidemic public opinion index have a significant longterm
negative effect on the number of tourists in the scenic spot (3) The time lag days for the impact
of COVID-19 on the number of tourists in scenic spots are usually 1-2 days, and as the event progresses,
the time lag is extended to 3-4 days, reflecting that tourists are less sensitive to COVID-19. Events
such as holidays and other events can also dramatically alter the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.
(4) The differentiation, volatility, and lag of the impact of COVID-19 on tourist attractions stem from
the impact of the epidemic on tourists’ travel motivation. In the repeated epidemic environment, tourists’
travel is affected by the distance between the epidemic site and the tourist location, and tourists are
more inclined to open, and close-up scenic spots. To sum up, natural and ecological scenic spots should
actively seize the opportunity for recovery and speed up the pace of recovery. Historical, cultural,
and modern recreational scenic spots need to wait for the opportunity and make good use of holidays
to drive recovery through marketing strategies; areas far away from the epidemic should pay attention to tourists. It is necessary to take decisive measures to close the park during the outbreak of the epidemic
in order to avoid the danger caused by lag.