ORIGINAL RESEARCH
The Impact of Multi-Dimensional Urbanization
on China’s Carbon Emissions Based on the Spatial
Spillover Effect
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1
College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Jiangsu, Nanjing, China
2
Jincheng College, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Jiangsu, Nanjing, China
Submission date: 2019-10-13
Final revision date: 2019-11-21
Acceptance date: 2019-11-21
Online publication date: 2020-03-27
Publication date: 2020-05-12
Corresponding author
Tao Sun
Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, China
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2020;29(5):3317-3327
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ABSTRACT
This paper used the panel data of 30 provinces in China from year 2006 to 2018 to calculate the carbon
emissions of each province. Moran’s I index is used to measure and analyze the spatial autocorrelation of
carbon emissions among the provinces in China. The study considered three dimensions of urbanization
such as population urbanization, land urbanization and economic urbanization to empirically analyze
their effects on carbon emissions. In addition, spatial spillover effects were also explored. The main
conclusions are as follows: (1) There is a positive spatial correlation between carbon emissions in
China’s provinces, and Moran’s I index is greater than 0.5, indicating a significant correlation of carbon
emissions; (2) in the context of three dimensions of urbanization, the direct effects are significant
and positively influence regional carbon emission levels. Moreover, the indirect effects of population
urbanization and land urbanization on regional carbon emissions are negative and coefficients are large.
Whereas, the indirect effects of economic urbanization are small and insignificant. The total effect
of population urbanization and economic urbanization are significantly positive and the total effects
of land urbanization are found to be negative. (3) Environmental regulation and energy consumption
structure as the control variables have a greater impact on carbon emissions, and the coefficient of the
total effect is positive. Whereas, foreign direct investment and industrial structure have less impact and
spatial spillover effects are not obvious.