ORIGINAL RESEARCH
The Impact of Energy De-Subsidization Policy
in 2030: A Dynamic CGE Model in China
More details
Hide details
1
School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Baoding, Hebei, China
2
Philosophy and Social Science Research Base of Hebei Province, North China Electric Power University, Baoding, Hebei, China
Submission date: 2018-01-17
Final revision date: 2018-04-11
Acceptance date: 2018-04-16
Online publication date: 2018-12-27
Publication date: 2019-03-01
Corresponding author
Wei Li
School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, No.619 Yonghua Street, Baoding, Hebei 071003, China, No. 689, Huadian Rd., Lianchi District, Baoding, Hebei 071003, China, 071003 Baoding, China
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2019;28(4):2187-2204
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
The issues of energy shortage and environmental pollution caused by energy subsidies are more
serious in a massive energy-consuming country like China. Since the Group of 20 summit meeting on
September 4, 2016, government leaders have confirmed that they will phase out inefficient fossil fuel
subsidies. In this paper, we construct a computable general equilibrium model to analyze the impact
of different de-subsidization policies based on possible reduction targets, mitigation routes, and reform
periods. The results show that a nonlinear tendency in gross domestic product will emerge with the
increasing intensity of de-subsidization targets. Moreover, there is a general macroeconomic recession
both in output and consumption, where the prices have generally increased. The results also show that
various mitigation routes of de-subsidization policy are slightly significant economically. However, the
total removal of energy subsidy in one year will obtain an opposite conclusion with better social welfare
and gross domestic product, but more carbon emissions and energy consumption. Overall, a medium
target (50-90%) with an average reduction during 2010-2030 could be more suitable for China.