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ORIGINAL RESEARCH
The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on
Industrial Green Development of China:
A Moderated Mediation Analysis
1
School of Economics and Trade, Fujian Jiangxia University, Fuzhou, China
2
School of Economics and Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, China
Submission date: 2024-07-25
Final revision date: 2024-09-03
Acceptance date: 2024-09-29
Online publication date: 2025-01-22
Publication date: 2025-11-04
Corresponding author
Liping Zhang
School of Economics and Trade, Fujian Jiangxia University, Xiyuangong Road, 350108, Fuzhou, China
School of Economics and Trade, Fujian Jiangxia University, Xiyuangong Road, 350108, Fuzhou, China
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2025;34(6):7949-7966
KEYWORDS
artificial intelligenceindustrial green developmentmoderated mediation analysisindustrial structure upgradingindustrial agglomeration
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
The present study aims to investigate the influence of artificial intelligence (AI) on industrial green
development (IGD) in China. After constructing comprehensive assessment index systems for AI and
IGD, the index values for AI and IGD across 30 provinces in China from 2011 to 2021 were calculated
by methods of Intuitive Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (IFAHP) and Dynamic Grey Relational
Analysis (DGRA). Then, based on the PROCESS macro, the direct and indirect effects of AI on IGD,
the mediating role of industrial structure upgrading on the relationship between AI and IGD, and the
moderating effect of industrial agglomeration on the link between industrial structure upgrading and
IGD were detected using the Hierarchical Regression Analysis method. The indirect effect of AI on
IGD via industrial structure upgrading with the moderation effect of industrial agglomeration was also
tested using bootstrap analysis and the Johnson-Neyman technique. The empirical results show that
1) AI could exert significant direct and indirect influence on IGD; 2) industrial structure upgrading
could partially mediate the relationship between AI and IGD; and 3) industrial agglomeration could
significantly moderate the effect of industrial structure upgrading on IGD. Specifically, when industrial
agglomeration is at a low level, industrial agglomeration strengthens the positive influence of industrial
structure upgrading on IGD. However, once the level of industrial agglomeration exceeds a certain
threshold, it weakens the impact of industrial structure upgrading on IGD. These findings provide new
insights into the influence of AI on IGD and may shed light on future decisions related to industrial
green transformation.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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