ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Temporal-Spatial Evolution Characteristics
and Influencing Factors of Urban Carbon
Emissions in China
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Shenzhen Guoce Information Service Limited, Nanshan District 528000, Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province, China
Submission date: 2022-12-03
Final revision date: 2023-01-23
Acceptance date: 2023-01-28
Online publication date: 2023-02-27
Publication date: 2023-04-14
Corresponding author
Li Su
Shenzhen Guoce Information Service limited, China
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2023;32(3):2309-2322
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ABSTRACT
Based on the natural discontinuity method, kernel density estimation, Dagum Gini coefficient,
exploratory spatial data analysis and other methods, this paper explores the temporal-spatial
characteristics of China’s urban carbon emissions from 2000 to 2017, and investigate the influencing
factors of China’s urban carbon emissions by using the decomposition model of the spatial Dubin
model. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) China’s urban carbon emissions are steadily rising,
but the growth rate of carbon emissions is slowing down gradually; The two-level differentiation of
carbon emission distribution in the eastern and central regions are obvious, while that in the western
and northeastern regions are not obvious. (2) There is a significant spatial autocorrelation of China’s
urban carbon emissions, and the local agglomeration features are obvious, which are mainly “high-high
agglomeration” and “low-low agglomeration”. (3) In terms of carbon emission factors, technological
innovation, foreign investment, and government intervention can reduce carbon emissions in the eastern
region; Government intervention has a mitigation effect on carbon emissions in the central region;
Infrastructure construction and technological innovation can reduce carbon emissions in the western
region; The industrial structure has a mitigation effect on carbon emissions in the northeastern region.
The main research values are as follows: It is helpful to comprehensively understand the dynamic
distribution, regional differences and spatial agglomeration characteristics of China’s urban carbon
emissions, and then investigate the driving factors of carbon emissions in different regions, so as to
provide a scientific basis for each region to further implement the “double carbon” strategy, promote
the coordinated emission reduction of cities, and jointly build a green development path.