ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Spatio-Temporal Evolution and Simulation
Prediction of Ecosystem Service Value
in Huaihe River Basin
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School of Economics and Management, Anhui University of Science and Technology, Huainan, 232001, China
Submission date: 2023-03-25
Final revision date: 2023-04-26
Acceptance date: 2023-05-04
Online publication date: 2023-06-27
Publication date: 2023-07-21
Corresponding author
Shuhang Zhao
Anhui University of Science and Technology, China
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2023;32(4):3565-3576
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ABSTRACT
Studying the ecosystem service value is of great value for solving the contradiction between
ecological protection and economic development in the Huaihe River Basin. The characteristics of land
use change were studied by using the Landsat remote sensing image data of Anhui section and Henan
section of Huaihe River Basin from 2010 to 2020. The equivalent factor method was used to estimate
the ecosystem service value, and the spatial autocorrelation model was used to analyze the spatial
distribution characteristics of ecosystem service value The GM-BP model was used to predict the land
use change in 2025. The results showed that: (1) From 2010 to 2020, cultivated land and construction
land dominated the land use in the study area, and the degree of land use change changed from severe to
stable. (2) The value of ecosystem services is in the transition stage from low level (II) to medium level
(III). (3) ecosystem service value has a significant positive spatial correlation, and the spatial distribution
is generally high in the southeast and low in the northwest. (4) Compared with 2020, ecosystem service
value will rise by 0.54 % in 2025.