ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Spatio-Temporal Evolution Measurement
and Obstacle Factors of the Vulnerability
of Water-Energy-Food-Ecology Nexus
in the Yangtze River Economic Belt
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1
College of Economics and Management, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, China
2
Academy of Chinese Ecological Progress and Forestry Development Studies, Nanjing, 210037, China
Submission date: 2022-01-15
Final revision date: 2022-04-04
Acceptance date: 2022-05-14
Online publication date: 2022-08-02
Publication date: 2022-09-28
Corresponding author
Yan Chen
Nanjing Forestry University, China
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2022;31(5):4789-4805
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ABSTRACT
The vulnerability of the water-energy-food-ecology nexus in the Yangtze River Economic
Belt greatly impacts regional sustainable development. This study aimed to conduct a quantitative
assessment and temporal and spatial evolution analysis of the vulnerability of the water-energy-foodecology
nexus in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2008 to 2018 and diagnose the main factors that
hinder the vulnerability reduction. Firstly, the vulnerability assessment index system was constructed
according to the Vulnerability-Scoping-Diagram framework. Then, SPA-TOPSIS and ArcGIS10.7 were
comprehensively used to evaluate the vulnerability of the water-energy-food-ecology nexus. Finally,
the obstacle degree model was used to diagnose the main factors that hinder the vulnerability reduction
of the water-energy-food-ecology nexus from the index and subsystem levels. The results showed
that the vulnerability level of the water-energy-food-ecology nexus in the Yangtze River Economic
Belt decreased from 2008 to 2018, and the overall trend was improved. The vulnerability level of the
upstream region was generally lower than that of the middle and lower reaches. The main obstacles
are the comprehensive utilization rate of solid waste, the primary industry energy consumption ratio,
energy consumption intensity, water consumption per 10,000-yuan GDP, domestic water consumption
per capita and fertilizer application per unit grain sowing area. The energy subsystem is the primary
obstacle system, followed by the food, ecology, and water subsystem.