ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Spatio-Temporal Evaluation and Quantification
of Pollutant Source Contribution in Little Akaki
River, Ethiopia: Conjunctive Application of Factor
Analysis and Multivariate Receptor Model
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1
Arba Minch University, AWTI, Arba Minch, Ethiopia
2
Rostock University, Department of Water Management, Rostock, Germany
3
Water Development Commission, MoWIE, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
Submission date: 2019-12-26
Final revision date: 2020-03-15
Acceptance date: 2020-03-16
Online publication date: 2020-07-24
Publication date: 2020-10-05
Corresponding author
Zelalem Abera Angello
Water Management, Rostock University, Justus Von Liebig Weg, 18059, Rostock, Germany
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2021;30(1):23-34
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ABSTRACT
Little Akaki River (LAR) is among the heavily polluted urban rivers in Ethiopia. A bimonthly
physico-chemical and heavy metals water quality analysis was conducted aimed at assessing the
spatio-temporal characteristics and quantifying sources contributing to the pollution during dry and
wet season at 22 montoring stations. Accordingly, laboratory analysis results indicated that most of
the constituents deviated from the national and international guideline limits and the river is critically
polluted at the middle and downstream segment. Factor Analysis (FA) was used to qualitatively
determine the possible sources contributing to the pollution of LAR where three factors are identified
that determine the pollution level during wet and dry season explaining 79.26 % and 79.47 % of the
total variance respectively. Agricultural and urban runoff (nonpoint pollution sources), industrial
and domestic waste are the three dominant factors that contribute to pollution in LAR. On the other
hand, pollution sources of heavy metals in LAR are mostly dominated by industrial release whereas
urban washouts from garages and automobile oil spills are other possible sources. Cluster Analysis
spatially grouped all 22 monitoring stations into four and three clusters during the dry and wet season
respectively. USEPA’s receptor model, UNMIX, was used to quantify the composition and contribution
of LAR constituents. The model predicted quite well with a minimum Signal to Noise ratio (S/N) of
2.71 and 2.16>2 and R2 of 0.91 and 0.88>0.8 for the dry and wet season respectively. The UNMIX model
effectively predicted the water quality source composition with a model predicted to measured ratio
(P:M) of 1.04 and 1.16 during the dry season and wet season with an average percentage error of 1.38 %
and 17.13 % respectively. LAR water quality management approach incorporating all the three pollution
sources could be feasible.