ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Spatial Patterns, Drivers and Heterogeneous
Effects of PM2.5: Experience from China
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1
School of Business Administration, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law,182 Nanhu Ave., Wuhan 430073, China
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Wenlan School of Business, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, 182 Nanhu Ave., Wuhan 430073, China
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School of Economics, Shandong University of Finance and Economics, NO.40 Shungeng Rd, Jinan, Shandong, 250014, China
Submission date: 2022-04-21
Final revision date: 2022-07-15
Acceptance date: 2022-07-16
Online publication date: 2022-09-26
Publication date: 2022-12-08
Corresponding author
Chengye Jia
Economics Department, Shandong University of Finance and Economics, China
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2022;31(6):5633-5647
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ABSTRACT
PM2.5 not only affects air visibility, but also can enter the lungs and blood through the respiratory
tract, causing important damage to the human respiratory system, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular
system. Infants, children, the elderly, patients with cardiovascular disease and chronic lung disease have
become more sensitive to it, and has become an important factor endangering public health. Identifying
PM2.5 spatial and temporal characteristics and influencing factors can provide key information for urban
atmospheric environmental governance and public health improvement. Previous studies have only
explored the influencing factors of PM2.5, while ignoring which is the more important factors. Firstly,
this study explores the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics and spatial correlation characteristics
of PM2.5 distribution in 285 cities in China. Then, a selection model--- Bayesian model average
method is applied to identify which variables are more likely to affect PM2.5 in China. We find that
(1) From 2000 to 2018, the high-value concentration areas of PM2.5 distribution in China were mainly
distributed in the central and eastern regions, and showed the trend of “moving eastward”. (2) Among
all variables in this study, population density, utilization rate of common industrial solid wastes, per
capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP), proportion of secondary industry to GDP, centralized treatment
rate of sewage treatment plant and industrial emission of sulfur dioxide are the most important drivers
to predict PM2.5 in China. In addition, we found that the relationship between the selected variables
and PM2.5 tends to change over time. In addition, we also show that the influence of selected variables
on PM2.5 depends on the distribution of PM2.5, that is, there is a heterogeneous effect.