ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Sensitivity of Beta and Weibull Synthetic Unit
Hydrographs to Input Parameter Changes
Andrzej Wałęga1, Agnieszka Rutkowska2, Agnieszka Policht-Latawiec3
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1Department of Sanitary Engineering and Water Management, University of Agriculture in Kraków,
Mickiewicza 24-28, 30-059 Kraków, Poland
2Department of Applied Mathematics, University of Agriculture in Kraków,
Balicka 253C, 30-198 Kraków, Poland
3Department of Land Reclamation and Environmental Development, University of Agriculture in Kraków,
Mickiewicza 24-28, 30-059 Kraków, Poland
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2014;23(1):221-229
KEYWORDS
ABSTRACT
Our article investigates the response of the synthetic unit hydrographs (SUH) to parameter changes
using sensitivity analysis. The beta and Weibull probability density functions and the objective function that
includes both the peak discharge and time to peak were chosen to construct the SUHs for a small mountain
catchment. The absolute and relative dependences between the distribution parameter changes and changes in
the peak discharge and time to peak are measured using the sensitivity analysis methods which include both
differential calculus and numerical computations. The Weibull SUH turned out to be more sensitive than the
beta SUH when modeling the maximum discharge. The impacts of both parameters of the beta SUH and one
parameter of the Weibull SUH on the time to peak are comparable, while the influence of the second parameter
of the Weibull SUH is weaker. The results of validation showed good efficiency of the models and compatibility
with Snyder’s model. They serve as an effective tool in assessing flood risk.