ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Sensitivity Analysis of Model Parameters
for Water Quality Simulation
Nireshini Naidoo, Muthukrishnavellaisamy Kumarasamy
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Civil Engineering Programme, School of Engineering, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
Submission date: 2016-01-06
Final revision date: 2016-02-21
Acceptance date: 2016-02-21
Publication date: 2016-07-22
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2016;25(4):1655-1660
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ABSTRACT
The Hybrid Cells in Series model consists of a plug flow cell – first and second well-mixed cells in
series that represent advective-dispersive transport pollutants in river reaches. The key model parameters
are the cell residence times (α, T1, and T2), which require parameter optimization to calibrate the model
and to identify the sensitivity of model parameters. The least square error optimization method was used to
determine the model parameters. Tracer test data was adopted to evaluate the sensitivity of the hybrid model
response to a unit impulse input of a conservative pollutant. Factor perturbation was applied to determine the
parameter with the greatest influence on hybrid unit output. The nth hybrid unit output was generated using
a convolution technique and compared to the observed output from available field data. Traditionally, the
longitudinal dispersion coefficient (DL) of a particular waterway is calculated according to the physical flow
and channel properties. These properties are hardly regular, and the investigation into the use of moments
to determine DL helps to eliminate uncertainties for future hydraulic modelling ventures. Parameters α and
T2 are more sensitive, needing accurate estimation to correctly reproduce concentration-time profile, and to
simulate river water quality.