ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Rural Fire Risk Assessment in GIS Environment
Using Fuzzy Logic and the AHP Approaches
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Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences,
Yildiz Technical University, 34220 İstanbul, Turkey
Submission date: 2020-11-19
Final revision date: 2021-02-18
Acceptance date: 2021-04-21
Online publication date: 2021-09-01
Publication date: 2021-10-01
Corresponding author
Mehmet Çağlar
Business Administration, Quantitative Methods, Yildiz Technical University, İstanbul, Turkey
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2021;30(6):4971-4984
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ABSTRACT
Fires all around the world have caused irreparable environmental and economic losses due to the
increase in global warming. Risk assessments are curial for taking measures to keep negative effects of
natural hazards to a minimum and to ensure sustainability of the nature. In this regard, the aim of this
study is to evaluate rural area fire risk in the seven geographical regions of Turkey. Since fire sensitive
areas in rural regions are generally composed of forest areas, data on the size of forest areas, number of
forest fires and temperatures are the main starting points of this study. Analysis was carried out using
the Analytical Hierarchy Process and Fuzzy Logic approaches. In this study the Analytical Hierarchy
Process and Fuzzy Logic approaches were integrated with the Geographical Information Systems. The
results obtained from the AHP and Fuzzy Logic approaches were compared and evaluated. The results
of the study show that the Aegean, Mediterranean and Marmara regions have the highest rural area fire
risk levels. The fire risk assessments results obtained by the AHP and Fuzzy Logic approaches overlap
on the basis of geographical regions. Integrating the AHP and Fuzzy Logic with GIS for rural area fire
risk assessment provide valid, reliable and very important results in making the necessary planning and
ensuring sustainability of the environment.