ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Research on the Spatial Heterogeneity
of Carbon Intensity at the Provincial Level
in China and Its Driving Factors
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1
College of Civil Engineering, Jiangxi Science and Technology Normal University,
No.605 Fenglin Avenue, 330013, Nanchang, China
2
Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Engineering Technology Research Base of Think Tank, Jiangxi Science
and Technology Normal University, No.605 Fenglin Avenue, 330013, Nanchang, China
Submission date: 2024-03-02
Final revision date: 2024-04-24
Acceptance date: 2024-06-12
Online publication date: 2024-09-13
Corresponding author
Zengbing Liu
College of Civil Engineering, Jiangxi Science and Technology Normal University, China
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
To effectively and expeditiously address emission reduction, a comprehensive understanding
of the current status of carbon intensity and the spatial interactions of carbon intensity in China is
necessary. This paper utilizes GIS technology, the Moran Index, and combines traditional Markov
chain, spatial Markov chain, and social network analysis (SNA) methods to investigate various
features of carbon intensity at the provincial level in China. The study yields the following findings:
(1) The center of China’s carbon intensity has shifted towards the northwest, whereas the center of
economic development has moved towards the south. This indicates a significant spatial divergence
in China’s low-carbon development level. (2) The distribution pattern of carbon emission intensity
in China is dominated by the proximity of high carbon emission intensity provinces to other high
carbon emission intensity provinces and low carbon emission intensity provinces to other low carbon
emission intensity provinces. (3) Carbon emission intensity exhibits significant spatial spillover effects,
with positive spillover effects being more pronounced in regions with low carbon emission intensity.
(4) The trend toward the development of China’s overall carbon intensity is positive, but the spatial
connectivity network of carbon intensity demonstrates a tendency to be entrenched, and leading
provinces in low-carbon development have yet to fully realize their positive driving role.