ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Research on High-Resolution Prediction Method
of Sichuan Province’s Natural Resources
Based on Multi-Source Information Fusion
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1
Power Internet of Things Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, State Grid Sichuan Electric Power Research Institute,
Chengdu 610095, China
2
College of Carbon Neutrality Future Technology, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China
Submission date: 2024-09-07
Final revision date: 2024-11-01
Acceptance date: 2024-11-14
Online publication date: 2025-03-31
Corresponding author
Zhengwei Chang
Power Internet of Things Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, State Grid Sichuan Electric Power Research Institute,
Chengdu 610095, China
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ABSTRACT
With the intensification of global climate change and ecological degradation, the protection
and sustainable management of vegetation resources in Sichuan Province have become critical research
areas. This paper, leveraging multi-source information fusion technology, integrates remote sensing
data, Geographic Information System (GIS) data, meteorological data, and ground observation data
to propose a high-resolution spatiotemporal prediction model for vegetation resources across
the province. Using an XGBoost algorithm combined with high-precision spatial grid data,
the study accurately predicts the distribution of vegetation resources and provides an in-depth analysis
of the impact of urbanization on vegetation cover across various cities in Sichuan. For example, plateau
areas such as Ganzi Prefecture (MEAN = 68.03, STD = 12.23) and Aba Prefecture (MEAN = 49.81,
STD = 10.93) exhibit rich and uniform vegetation cover. In contrast, urbanized regions like Chengdu
(MEAN = 2 6.18, S TD = 21.77) s how s ignificantly l ower v egetation c overage, a lthough t he s uburban
areas around Chengdu still maintain considerable natural resource richness. The model achieved an
RMSE of 8.7 and an R² of 0.82, demonstrating high accuracy and robustness. The results offer crucial
insights for improving ecological management and promoting sustainable development in Sichuan
Province while also serving as a technical foundation for environmental protection in other regions with
similar ecological challenges.