ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Research on Financing Environment Evaluation
of Scientific Innovation Industry Based
on the Bayesian Network Model under
the Background of Green Economy
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College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,
Nanjing Jiangsu 211106 China
Submission date: 2023-04-07
Final revision date: 2023-06-20
Acceptance date: 2023-07-14
Online publication date: 2023-09-18
Publication date: 2023-10-25
Corresponding author
Bihan Wen
College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,
Nanjing Jiangsu 211106 China
Rui Liu
College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,
Nanjing Jiangsu 211106 China
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2023;32(6):5047-5060
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ABSTRACT
As the global environmental crisis evolves, China’s traditional industries have serious problems
of high energy consumption, high emission and low energy efficiency. Developing green industries
has become an important direction of China’s industrial transformation and upgrading. This paper
selects scientific innovation industry as a typical representative of green industry and studies its
financing environment assessment. In order to solve the financing dilemma faced by the science
and technology innovation industry, this paper puts forward the evaluation method of the financing
environment of science and technology innovation industry based on Bayesian network from the Angle
of industry particularity. In this paper, Netica software is used to construct a Bayesian network model
of the financing environment of the science and technology innovation industry, and the financing
environment of the science and technology innovation industry in 2016-2020 is inferred according to
the annual probability distribution. Then, the sensitivity analysis is carried out, and the hierarchical
policy simulation is used to simulate the conditional probability of the initial node and the intermediate
node respectively, so as to determine the impact of each node on the financing environment, and finally
obtain the optimization path. The research results can be of great value for improving the financing
environment of scientific innovation industry and promoting the development of green industry.