ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Research on Energy Saving and Rebound Effects
of Technological Progress from the Perspective
of Regime Switch
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College of Economics, Hangzhou Dianzi University, Hangzhou, People’s Republic of China 310018
Submission date: 2022-10-14
Final revision date: 2022-12-05
Acceptance date: 2022-12-14
Online publication date: 2023-02-09
Publication date: 2023-03-14
Corresponding author
Gan Liu
Hangzhou Dianzi University, China
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2023;32(2):1711-1720
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ABSTRACT
Technological progress has been considered as the essential backbone of reducing energy
consumption and achieving low-carbon transmission. It is universally accepted that the technological
level and energy structure change with time, indicating a significant characteristic of regime switching.
From the perspective of regime switching, this paper considers the saving and rebound effect of
technological progress and uses MSIH-VAR model to empirically analyze energy consumption changes
in Zhejiang Province from 1990 to 2019. The results show that technological progress restricts the growth
of energy consumption. Specifically, in the whole period, the variables show significant characteristics
of double regimes, whose attributes are different. Moreover, the boundary between regimes is clear,
and the state is stable. Technological progress in regime 1 positively promotes the increase of energy
consumption, while in regime 2 decreases energy consumption. The saving effect is stage or lag under
different regimes.