ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Predicting Potential Habitat of Aconitum carmichaeli Debeaux in China Based on Three Species Distribution Models
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1
School of Food and Bioengineering, Chengdu University, No. 2025 Chengluo Avenue, Chengdu 610106, PR China
 
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Sichuan Provincial Key Laboratory of Quality and Innovation Research of Chinese Materia Medica, Sichuan Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine Sciences, Chengdu 610041, PR China
 
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Sichuan Provincial Rural Economic Information Center, Chengdu 610072, Sichuan, China
 
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Water-Saving Agriculture in Southern Hill Area Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Chengdu 610066, Sichuan, China
 
 
Submission date: 2022-08-01
 
 
Final revision date: 2022-10-10
 
 
Acceptance date: 2022-11-07
 
 
Online publication date: 2022-12-30
 
 
Publication date: 2023-02-23
 
 
Corresponding author
Rulin Wang   

Water-Saving Agriculture in Southern Hill Area Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, China
 
 
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2023;32(2):1219-1230
 
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ABSTRACT
Aconitum carmichaelii Debeaux is a perennial herb and medicinal plant, which has the effects of warming Yang and dispelling cold, warming meridians and relieving pain, dispelling wind and dehumidification, supplementing fire and helping Yang. In recent years, affected by the destruction of shrubs and climate warming, the habitat of A. carmichaeli wild resources has been seriously damaged, indicating of great significance to the artificial protection and cultivation of A. carmichaeli to predict its potential suitable habitat using species distribution models (SDMs). In this paper, 14 environmental variables and 449 specimen distribution records were applied to three models, i.e. MaxEnt, GARP and Bioclim to simulate the distribution of A. carmichaeli. Our results showed that, the AUC average values of the three models were all above 0.85 and the Kappa average values were above 0.75, justifying their applications for predicting the potential areas of A. carmichaeli. Furthermore, simulation of MaxEnt showed that, the highly suitable habitats were concentrated in the middle east of Sichuan (17.07×104 km2), western Hubei (7.34×104 km2), southern Shaanxi (7.2×104 km2), north central Guizhou (6.74×104 km2), eastern Chongqing (5.62×104 km2) and western Hunan (5.21×104 km2) and scattered in the middle of Zhejiang (3.07×104 km2), the southwest Anhui (1.87×104 km2) and western Henan (1.43×104 km2). Jackknife test and response curves determined that the key variables affecting the distribution of A. carmichaeli were annual precipitation (751.25-1580.72 mm), precipitation of warmest quarter (422.71-717.21 mm), min temperature of coldest month (-6.85-3.12ºC), temperature annual range (24.83-31.97ºC), elevation (145.87-2769.22 m) and human footprint (<4.01).
eISSN:2083-5906
ISSN:1230-1485
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