ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Parametric and Nonparametric Approaches
for Detecting the most Important Factors
in Biogas Production
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1
Panvita d.d., Rakičan, Murska Sobota, Slovenia
2
Faculty of Agriculture and Life Sciences, Hoče, Slovenia
Submission date: 2017-11-30
Final revision date: 2018-01-15
Acceptance date: 2018-01-24
Online publication date: 2018-08-06
Publication date: 2018-11-20
Corresponding author
Peter Vindiš
University of Maribor, Faculty of agriculture and Life sciences
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2019;28(1):291-301
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ABSTRACT
The aim of this paper is to compare results obtained via the well-known regression method ordinary
least squares (OLS) and the alternative regression method called multiple model regression estimation
(MM-estimation). This is motivated by the fact that exceptional crop yield observations (outliers and
leverage points) can cause misleading results if least squares regression is applied. The paper demonstrates
that in this case, robust regression is a more appropriate approach, with higher adjusted R-squared value.
With both methods, several models have been proposed for predicting the production of biogas where
various explanatory variables have been considered, such as the parameters of Weende analysis, C/N ratio,
pH value, and the value of volatile fatty acids. Anaerobic digestion was carried out with a basic substrate of
pig slurry and with different combinations of co-substrates, where co-substrate maize (main crop), maize
(stubble crop), triticale (main crop), sorghum (main crop), a mixture of plants for biomass production
(main crop), and grain maize (grain at the wax ripeness stage) were used. To optimize the anaerobic
process of fermentation of substrate with co-substrate, the experimental reactor of the Nemščak biogas
plant was applied. The average yield of biogas ranged from 384 Nl/kg VS to 635 Nl/kg. The resulting
models revealed that crude protein (XP), starch (XS), nitrogen-free extracts (NFE), C/N ratio, volatile
fatty acids (VFA), and pH value were the most important predictors affecting biogas production from
different substrates. These models are helpful tools in optimising and predicting biogas production from
energy crops.