ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Optimization of Urban Air Pollutant Concentration
Prediction and Health Risk Assessment based
on LSTM Model in Healthy Urban Space:
A Case Study of Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan
Urban Agglomerations
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1
College of Architecture and Urban Planning, Hunan City University, Yiyang 413000, China
2
School of Architecture and Planning, Hunan University, Changsha 410000, China
3
Hunan Key Laboratory of Key Technologies of Digital Urban and Rural Spatial Planning, Yiyang 413000, China
4
School of Humanities, Hunan City University, Yiyang 413000, China
Submission date: 2023-08-04
Final revision date: 2024-03-05
Acceptance date: 2024-05-17
Online publication date: 2024-09-06
Corresponding author
Yu Chen
School of Architecture and Planning, Hunan University, China
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ABSTRACT
With the improvement of people’s living standards, more people are concerned about the air
quality and safety of residential cities, and the concept of healthy urban space is gradually becoming
deeply rooted in people’s hearts. This study is based on long and short term memory neural network
algorithms, incorporating AMs into them. The research adjusts the data input to the algorithm according
to spatiotemporal characteristics and incorporates a stack-type self-coding network into an improved
long and short term memory neural network to predict the concentration of urban air pollutants.
The air pollutant data of Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan is used to test the model, and the test
results are as follows: The index values of the mean absolute error and coefficient of determination
of the intelligent prediction model with all improvement measures in the test set are 4.0 and 0.94,
respectively, which is significantly better than the traditional and partially improved long and short term
memory neural network. The algorithm model with complete improvement measures is selected for
comparative experiments with other recurrent neural networks. This experimental result shows that the
overall fluctuation amplitude of this model is the smallest under various test sample numbers. The mean
absolute error and root-mean-square error on the whole test set are 6.7 and 9.2, respectively, which are
still higher than other models. At this time, the memory consumption is 81 MB, 117 MB, and 154 MB,
and the memory consumption is also lower. The experimental data proves that this model, combined with an expert experience system, has the potential to be applied to urban air pollutant prediction
and health risk assessment.