ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Modelling Suitable Habitat and Ecological
Characteristics of Old Trees Using DIVA-GIS
in Anhui Province, China
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1
Institute of Criminal Science and Technology, Nanjing Forest Police College, Nanjing, China
2
Key Laboratory of State Forest and Grassland Administration on Wildlife Evidence Technology, Nanjing, China
3
School of Tourism and Resource Environment, Qiannan Normal University for Nationalities, Duyun, Guizhou, China
Submission date: 2019-05-02
Final revision date: 2019-06-14
Acceptance date: 2019-06-27
Online publication date: 2020-01-08
Publication date: 2020-02-13
Corresponding author
Chunping Xie
Institute of Criminal Science and Technology, Nanjing Forest Police College, Wenlan road, 210023, Nanjing, China
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2020;29(2):1931-1943
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ABSTRACT
Old trees as a natural heritage are significant components of terrestrial biodiversity, and they also
play an important role in the ecosystem. An overall understanding of the distribution patterns and
ecological characteristics of old trees in China’s Anhui Province will provide valuable insights into
old tree conservation and scientific planning. Based on the data from 617 field collection and historical
sample documents, we applied DIVA-GIS combined with the BIOCLIM model to qualitatively and
quantitatively analyse the distribution patterns of old trees and their dominant climate factors for the
first time. The model assessment results indicated that the area under the receiving operator curve
(AUC) and kappa statistics reached 0.969 and 0.921, respectively, which indicated that the data fit
the model very well and that the prediction was highly reliable. According to principal component
analysis (PCA), the main bioclimatic variables influencing the distribution of old trees were as
follows: water requirements, drought tolerance, preference temperature, heat resistance, cold tolerance
and others. The cumulative frequency curves further confirmed that the ecological characteristics
of the geographical distributing area for old trees in the study area were annual mean temperature
(10.90~16.30ºC), maximum temperature of warmest month (25.60~32.40ºC), mean temperature of
coldest quarter (0.30~4.90ºC), annual precipitation (665.00~1701.00 mm), precipitation of driest month
(14.00~47.00 mm) and precipitation of driest quarter (45.00~173.00 mm). The current distribution pattern
of old trees was mainly affected by precipitation factors. Furthermore, this study demonstrates a new
method for the conservation of old trees by virtue of GIS software and predictive models. All of these
results could help establish conservation plans for old trees.