ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Modeling the Dynamic Linkages between
Agriculture, Electricity Consumption,
Income and Pollutant Emissions
for Southeastern Europe
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1
Faculty of Economics, Administrative and Social Sciences, Hasan Kalyoncu University, Turkey
2
Independent Economic Advisor, Kuwait
3
Department of Insurance and Banking, College of Business Studies, Kuwait
Submission date: 2022-01-16
Final revision date: 2022-03-22
Acceptance date: 2022-03-29
Online publication date: 2022-06-08
Publication date: 2022-09-01
Corresponding author
Elma Satrovic
Department of Economics, University of Novi Pazar, Novi Pazar, Serbia
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2022;31(5):4259-4267
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ABSTRACT
This article investigated the short and long-run relationships between pollutant emissions, income,
electricity consumption, and the value added by agriculture, forestry, and fishing by applying the
agriculture-induced environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis to Southeastern Europe (SEE) countries
from 1996 to 2016. The article’s findings support the evidence of an agriculture-induced environmental
Kuznets curve phenomenon in the long-run using the panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL)
of the pooled mean group (PMG) and fully modified ordinary least square (FMOLS). The short-run
findings evidence the legitimacy of an agriculture-induced environmental Kuznets curve phenomenon
for Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Moldova, and Turkey. The bidirectional causality between
pollutant emissions and electricity and pollutant emissions and agriculture is confirmed. Moreover,
a unidirectional causality is found between income and pollutant emissions. Our results, by revealing
the positive inelastic impact of agriculture on pollutant emissions, suggest that greater agricultural
production increases electricity consumption and thus leads to higher carbon emissions in SEE
countries, calling into dispute the sustainability of agriculture-driven growth.