ORIGINAL RESEARCH
How Much is the Cost to Reduce the Incidence
Rate of Infectious Diseases Through
Reforestation? (Case Study on Pulmonary TB
under Global Warming Scenario)
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1
Environmental Science Study Program, University of Lampung
2
Forestry Department, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Lampung
Jl. Prof. Dr. Ir. Sumantri Brojonegoro No.1, Gedong Meneng, Kec. Rajabasa,
Bandar Lampung City 35145, Lampung, Indonesia
3
Faculty of Medicine, University of Lampung
Submission date: 2022-09-28
Final revision date: 2022-11-10
Acceptance date: 2022-12-06
Online publication date: 2023-02-06
Publication date: 2023-03-14
Corresponding author
Virginia Ramos
Environmental Science, lampung university, Jl. Prof. Dr. Ir. Sumantri Brojonegoro No.1, 35141, Bandar Lampung, Indonesia
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2023;32(2):1519-1529
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
Background: Nowadays, pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) is still a major global cause of death.
Indonesia is a country with a high burden of the disease and is ranked second as a contributor to
tuberculosis in the world after India, China, the Philippines, and Pakistan [1] along with the phenomenon
of deforestation [2] and global warming [3]. Forest restoration and reforestation are considered costeffective
nature-based solutions for climate change adaptation and mitigation to remove carbon dioxide
from the atmosphere, provide habitat for species and balance temperatures.
Methods: There is no research data on the contribution of the economic value of reforestation to
reduce the incidence rate of infectious diseases especially for TB, which is very important for mitigating
against the global warming. This research was conducted to determine the economic value of ecosystem
services as compensation for the reforestation program. This research was carried out in Lampung
Province from April to October 2021, using Landsat imagery series 2009, 2012, 2015, 2018, and 2019 to
detect forest cover.
Results: The study’s findings show that every 2ºC increase in temperature increases the incidence
of pulmonary tuberculosis by 1.5 per 10,000 population, or 3,770 cases cover class that has a significant
effect on the incidence of pulmonary TB is temperature, state forests, community forests, bare land, and
rice fields.
Conclusions: The valuation of forest environmental services in Lampung Province with human
capital through pulmonary tuberculosis medical cost approach techniques for forest mitigation costs is
IDR 20.113.458.000 /year.