ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Health Risk Assessment via AirQ+ Modelling
in Faisalabad and Adaptive Management
Framework
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1
College of Earth and Environmental Sciences. University of the Punjab, Lahore Pakistan
2
Department of Physics, Kohsar University, Murree 47118, Pakistan
Submission date: 2023-05-15
Final revision date: 2023-06-15
Acceptance date: 2023-06-16
Online publication date: 2023-10-27
Publication date: 2023-11-10
Corresponding author
Sajid Rashid Ahmad
College of Earth and Environmental Sciences. University of the Punjab, Lahore Pakistan
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2023;32(6):5763-5771
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ABSTRACT
The study was conducted in a major industrial city in Pakistan (Faisalabad) with a population
of 3.2 million. Air quality data was monitored for a whole year using United States Environmental
Protection Agency certified instruments, while the World Health Organization (WHO) recommended
AirQ+ model was used to assess the human health risks of air pollutants. The annual mean concentration
of NO2 (13.6 μg/m3) was within the permissible limits of Punjab Environmental Quality Standards
(PEQS) (40 μg/m3), but the annual mean concentration of PM2.5 was above both standard limits (106.1
μg/m3). As per the model, contribution of PM10 and PM2.5 to newborn mortality was 39.7% and 43.9%.
Precisely, Acute Lower Respiratory Infections (ALRI) in children under 5 years of age group was
significantly high due to PM2.5 i.e., 44.6%. Overall, PM2.5 was found to be significantly affecting the
mortality rates, including causing a high number of deaths due to natural causes, ALRI in children
under 5, Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) in those aged 30 or older, and stroke. Based
on the findings of the study, it is strongly recommended that comprehensive measures and interventions
be implemented to effectively reduce the elevated levels of PM2.5 in Faisalabad to mitigate the adverse
health effects, particularly the increased mortality rates and respiratory illnesses observed in vulnerable
populations such as children under 5 and individuals aged 30 or older.