ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Environmental Protection Tax Effect
on Reducing PM2.5 Pollution in China
and Its Influencing Factors
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1
School of Statistics, Shanxi University of Finance and Economics, 696 Wucheng Road, Taiyuan, China, 030006
2
School of Law, Shanxi University of Finance and Economics, 696 Wucheng Road, Taiyuan, China, 030006
Submission date: 2020-03-16
Acceptance date: 2020-05-10
Online publication date: 2020-07-31
Publication date: 2020-10-05
Corresponding author
Junming Li
School of Statistics, Shanxi University of Finance and Economics, Wucheng road, 030006, Taiyuan, China
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2021;30(1):119-130
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ABSTRACT
The PM2.5 pollution has been globally threatening human health. By monitoring PM2.5
concentrations and meteorological data, this study estimated the changes in PM2.5 concentrations before
and after the implementation of an environmental protection tax law in 30 provincial capital cities in
China by conducting a counterfactual curve-fitting simulation method and studied the effects of the
environmental protection tax (EEPT) on PM2.5. Then, the influencing factors of the EEPT in China
were investigated employing a Bayesian LASSO regression model. The environmental protection tax
generally reduced the annual PM2.5 concentrations in China in 2018. The EEPT in various cities are
different. Among the seven significant influencing factors, resident unemployment rate (RUR) and
gross domestic product (GDP) were the top two influencing factors, with contributions up to 20.7%
and 19.2%, respectively. Proportion of the secondary industry (PSI) (7.9%) and urbanisation rate (UR)
(6.7%) were the bottom two influencing factors. The median influencing factors were resident average
schooling years (RASY) (17.6%), relief amplitude (RA) (16.5%) and waste gas treatment input (WGTI)
(11.5%). Furthermore, GDP and UR associated negatively with the EEPT on PM2.5 pollution, whereas
the other five variables associated positively with the EEPT on PM2.5 pollution.