ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Analysis of the Causal Relationship between
the Spatial Change of Cultivated Land
Conversion and Economic Development
in North China, Using Hohhot City
in Inner Mongolia as an Example
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1
College of Geographical Science, Inner Mongolia Normal University, Hohhot 010022, China
2
Chifeng University, Chifeng 024000, China
Submission date: 2022-11-19
Final revision date: 2023-03-13
Acceptance date: 2023-03-22
Online publication date: 2023-05-10
Publication date: 2023-06-23
Corresponding author
Ruiping Zhou
College of Geographical Science, Inner Mongolia Normal University, China
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2023;32(4):3373-3383
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ABSTRACT
In order to achieve the "win-win" situation of development and food, we must solve the contradiction
between economic development and cultivated land conversion. This paper provides a reference
basis for effective protection of cultivated land resources and minimizing the amount of cultivated
land conversion. The land use data of Hohhot in 2010, 2015 and 2020 are used to analyze the spatial
distribution characteristics of cultivated land conversion in Hohhot. In addition, Granger causality
analysis is used to study the relationship between the cultivated land conversion area, urbanization
rate and GDP in Hohhot from 2010 to 2020, and master the causal relationship between the cultivated
land conversion and economic development in Hohhot. Research conclusions: (1) The banner counties
of Hohhot’s high cultivated land conversion area are mainly distributed in the northeastern urban
built-up areas, and the overall level of cultivated land conversion in Hohhot presents a spatial
distribution pattern of high in the northeast and low in the southwest. (2) GDP and urbanization level
are the direct reasons for cultivated land conversion in Hohhot, while cultivated land conversion is
the indirect reason for the improvement of urbanization level, but not the reason for GDP growth.