ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Analysis of Driving Forces of Energy Consumption
in Rural Areas of China’s Henan Province Based
on the STIRPAT Model and Ridge Regression
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1
State Grid Henan Economic Research Institute, Zhengzhou, Henan Province, China
2
Department of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University,
Baoding, Hebei, China
Submission date: 2018-12-17
Final revision date: 2019-03-04
Acceptance date: 2019-05-08
Online publication date: 2019-10-28
Publication date: 2020-01-16
Corresponding author
Hengyang Shao
Department of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Baoding071003, Hebei, China., China
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2020;29(2):1391-1398
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ABSTRACT
The main objective of this paper was to analyze the status quo of energy consumption in rural
Henan and identify the driving forces governing energy consumption based on the STIRPAT model.
Potential driven factors of energy consumption including power of agricultural machinery, effective
irrigated area, investment, income, total value, and per capital living space were selected to build the
extended stochastic impacts by regression on population, affluence, and technology (STIRPAT) model,
where ridge regression was applied to eliminate multicollinearity. The estimation results show that all
the factors are positively related to rural energy consumption in Henan. The effective irrigated area
is the maximal driven factor of energy consumption in rural Henan. Per capital living space, peasant
household investment, power of agricultural machinery, total value of agricultural output, and per capita
income all contribute to rural energy consumption growth in Henan. Finally, we propose policies that
can be applied to mitigate future energy consumption in rural Henan.