ORIGINAL RESEARCH
An Empirical Study on the Shadow Price
of Carbon Dioxide Emissions
in China’s Industry
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Department of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Baoding, China
Submission date: 2018-10-06
Final revision date: 2019-01-14
Acceptance date: 2019-05-08
Online publication date: 2020-01-08
Publication date: 2020-02-13
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2020;29(2):1919-1930
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ABSTRACT
The shadow price of CO2 emissions plays a fundamental role in evaluating CO2 abatement costs.
In this paper, a directional environment production frontier function model based on the nonparametric
method is established to measure the distance between actual production points and the
effective production frontier surface, with which CO2 shadow prices of 36 industrial sectors in China
are estimated during 2006-2015. The empirical studies show that: (1) there is a negative relationship
between shadow price and carbon intensity. The average shadow price of the top five sectors with the
highest carbon intensity is 373.92 Yuan/t, while the top five sectors with the lowest carbon intensity
are 50254.54 Yuan/t. CO2 abatement potential differs significantly across sectors, so the sector-specific
environmental policies should be concerned; (2) shadow prices of CO2 have an upward tendency with
time in all sectors, and they rise with a greater speed in the low carbon intensity sectors than in the high
ones, which implies that emissions reduction is accompanied by increasing economic sacrifices; (3) there
is an additional 3.07% growth of industrial value owing to the CO2 emissions increasing by 6.39% every
year; and (4) two typical sectors are selected to further analyze their CO2 abatement characteristics,
respectively.