ORIGINAL RESEARCH
An Analysis of the Factors Influencing China’s
Provincial Economy on Land Use Carbon
Emissions Based on a Decoupling Model:
a Case Study of Sichuan Province
from 1990 to 2020
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1
National Field Observation and Research Station of Landslides in Three Gorges Reservoir Area
of Yangtze River, Yichang 443002, China
2
College of Civil Engineering & Architecture, China Three Gorges University, Yichang 443002, China
Submission date: 2023-07-14
Final revision date: 2023-10-06
Acceptance date: 2023-11-04
Online publication date: 2024-02-12
Publication date: 2024-02-28
Corresponding author
Tao Ming
China Three Gorges University, China
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2024;33(3):2457-2472
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ABSTRACT
This paper discussed the impact of economic development on carbon emissions in Sichuan Province
from 1990 to 2020 and put forward some suggestions to accelerate the development of a low-carbon
economy. Firstly, the land use type was reclassified, then the IPCC coefficient method was used to
calculate the land use carbon emissions, and then the driving factors affecting the carbon emissions were
obtained by the log-average factor index (LMDI) method. Finally, the decoupling elasticity index and
its influencing factors were obtained using Tapio decoupling model. The results showed that: (1) Carbon
emissions in Sichuan Province increased significantly, with a growth rate of 218.7% from 1990 to 2020.
Per capita GDP, land use structure and land use intensity per unit GDP were the main reasons for carbon
emissions change. (2) Sichuan Province achieved strong decoupling during 1995-2000 and 2015-2020.
However, it was in a state of expanding connection during 2000-2005, and the economic pressure on
the environment reached the maximum. (3) Per capita GDP was the main factor promoting the elastic
growth of decoupling index, while land use intensity per unit GDP is the main reason inhibiting the
elastic growth of decoupling index.