REVIEW PAPER
A Systematic Review on the Evolution
of Carbon Emission Forecasting
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School of Management, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, China
Submission date: 2024-06-28
Final revision date: 2024-08-07
Acceptance date: 2024-08-23
Online publication date: 2024-10-14
Corresponding author
Ru Zhang
School of Management, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, China
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
Carbon emissions are a primary driver of global warming, prompting increasing research efforts
to forecast carbon emission trends and mitigate their environmental impact. However, a systematic
understanding of the existing literature on carbon emission forecasting is lacking. This study aims to
provide a comprehensive review of this research field to inform decision-making. Specifically, the study
summarizes the literature on carbon emission forecasts from three perspectives. First, it analyzes the
general characteristics of the literature. Second, it visualizes and examines research topics and trends
over different periods. Third, it explores the foundational knowledge, research content, and contributions
of the literature, integrating them into a coherent knowledge framework. The visualization results
indicate that the topics of carbon emission forecast studies have shown continuity over the past three
decades. Meanwhile, research emphases differ between developed and developing regions. Based on
these findings, policy recommendations are proposed, including the enhancement of energy efficiency
standards, macro-regulation constraints, fiscal and tax incentives, and the optimization of the energyemission
structure.