ORIGINAL RESEARCH
A Novel Hybrid Forecasting Model for PM2.5 Concentration Based on Optimized VMD Decomposition, Multi-Objective Feature Selection, and Error Correction
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1
Department of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, 689 Huadian Road, Baoding 071000, China
 
2
National Engineering Research Center for E-Learning, Central China Normal University, Luoyu Road, Wuhan , 430079 , Hubei, China
 
 
Submission date: 2024-04-24
 
 
Final revision date: 2024-05-06
 
 
Acceptance date: 2024-05-17
 
 
Online publication date: 2024-09-09
 
 
Corresponding author
Chenhao Cai   

Department of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, China
 
 
 
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ABSTRACT
Accurate prediction of PM2.5 concentration is crucial for public health and environmental protection. This paper develops a novel forecasting model that combines optimized signal decomposition with multi-objective feature selection techniques and error correction to enhance the accuracy of PM2.5 concentration predictions. Initially, the RIME algorithm is employed to precisely set the parameters of Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD), which decomposes the raw PM2.5 data into high, medium, and low-frequency components based on sample entropy values. Subsequently, a multi-objective feature selection approach is utilized to identify key feature subsets that significantly influence each frequency domain component. Finally, an optimized Informer model is deployed for comprehensive forecasting, complemented by an error correction mechanism to obtain the final PM2.5 concentration predictions. Experimental results indicate that the optimized decomposition effectively extracts key information from the data, reducing prediction complexity. The multi-objective feature selection approach provides superior identification of feature subsets compared to traditional single-objective methods. The enhanced Informer model, coupled with error correction, significantly improves the model’s accuracy and robustness.
eISSN:2083-5906
ISSN:1230-1485
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